How much snow will we get this time??
It appears that the Holland Patent area will see its first Nor'easter of the season this weekend. Before you get too excited, I must state that the term "nor'easter" does not always refer to a snow storm, and this weekend we can expect nothing but rain. The term "nor'easter" simply refers to any storm that travels up the East Coast that pulls a significant source of its energy from a large temperature difference between the northern and southern sides of the storm. This setup means that we along the coast experience winds out of the northeast, while the areas above the waters of the Atlantic experience a wind out of the southwest. Generally during the summer, this temperature difference is not sufficient for the formation of nor'easters, hence the vast majority form in the winter, when temperatures support snow. Although they will be oh-so-close this weekend (mid to upper 30s), we won't quite be in snow range.
What can we expect?
Rain. A lot of it, for a long time. The bulk of the precipitation will fall on Saturday, with most of the region looking at 1" to 1.5" of rain that day. The gloom continues on Sunday and Monday as on-and-off lake effect rain showers will add another 0.25" to 0.5" to our total. A light breeze will remain with us through Tuesday, although nothing damaging is expected. The image below shows the total rainfall forecast expected for our area, with 1.52" expected for Holland Patent.
Will anyone see the flakes falling?
While temperatures are too warm for the Holland Patent area, that will not be the case for the upper elevations of the Adirondacks. As of now, the high peaks could pick up anywhere from 4"-12" of snow. Most accumulation, however, should be confined to regions above 3000 feet. This precludes Snow Ridge, Oak Mountain, and McCauley Mountain from seeing any snowfall, however the summit regions of Gore Mountain and Whiteface Mountain could cash in on some pre-season snowfall. A reminder that Whiteface has set their opening date for November 23rd (the day after Thanksgiving)! The image below shows the total snowfall forecast for this nor'easter. The 6" represents the forecast for Whiteface Mountain. Nothing for our area.